I don't think you understand the concept of probability

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April 29, 2017 11:38AM

Registered: 7 years ago
Posts: 1,860

If the less likely outcome is realized, it doesn't justify choosing it to begin with. It just means you got lucky.......this time.

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Subject	Author	Views	Posted
McVay: Rams' 2nd- and 3rd-round picks 'exactly what we wanted'	RamBill	1183	April 29, 2017 09:19AM
"The Rams identified Everett as a potential target two years ago."	9er8er	428	April 29, 2017 10:29AM
Yep. Pretty scary.	max	424	April 29, 2017 10:35AM
Re: Yep. Pretty scary.	six2stack	325	April 29, 2017 10:40AM
Re: Yeah it's highly unusual.	laram	354	April 29, 2017 10:42AM
I agree	RFIP	325	April 29, 2017 10:49AM
I think you look no further than	stlramz	234	April 29, 2017 07:20PM
Re: Yep. Pretty scary.	RamBill	533	April 29, 2017 10:56AM
How about this...	max	277	April 29, 2017 11:03AM
How dare you	RamUK	274	April 29, 2017 11:04AM
Re: How about this...	Rams43	285	April 29, 2017 11:15AM
It's an heuristic	RamUK	277	April 29, 2017 11:22AM
Re: How about this...	max	290	April 29, 2017 11:28AM
Re: How about this...	Rams43	398	April 29, 2017 11:42AM
Simple...	max	246	April 29, 2017 11:47AM
Re: Simple...	Rams43	416	April 29, 2017 11:54AM
We are going nowhere with this. Agree to disagree. nm	max	246	April 29, 2017 12:09PM
Re: Simple...	dzrams	302	April 29, 2017 12:18PM
Re: Simple...	zn	245	April 29, 2017 12:59PM
Re: Fully agree... nm	dzrams	255	April 29, 2017 01:03PM
False equivalency	RamUK	393	April 29, 2017 01:49PM
Depends on what you hope to be convinced of	9er8er	393	April 29, 2017 11:07AM
I agree Max	droopy	295	April 29, 2017 10:58AM
Re: I agree Max	six2stack	262	April 29, 2017 11:01AM
and this is the crux of the problem	PHDram	281	April 29, 2017 11:26AM
I don't think you understand the concept of probability	9er8er	267	April 29, 2017 11:38AM
Re: I don't think you understand the concept of probability	Rams43	263	April 29, 2017 11:44AM
I don't know what you do and don't detect	9er8er	237	April 29, 2017 11:48AM
Re: I don't think you understand the concept of probability	dzrams	254	April 29, 2017 11:50AM
Are you saying you don't think anybody can?	9er8er	278	April 29, 2017 12:03PM
Re: You missed the premise...	dzrams	243	April 29, 2017 12:33PM
Oh!	9er8er	295	April 29, 2017 12:44PM
Re: Disappointing!	dzrams	200	April 29, 2017 01:01PM
It is	9er8er	243	April 29, 2017 01:18PM
Re: It is	dzrams	243	April 29, 2017 01:49PM
then a team should never ever trade down.	PHDram	275	April 29, 2017 12:16PM
Why's that?	9er8er	259	April 29, 2017 12:18PM
Re: Why's that?	PHDram	216	April 29, 2017 01:01PM
Re: Why's that?	9er8er	436	April 29, 2017 01:36PM
I disagree with the premise that	PHDram	245	April 29, 2017 01:44PM
Disagree all you want	9er8er	231	April 29, 2017 01:47PM
I didnt. Thanx	PHDram	215	April 29, 2017 02:04PM
Re: Why's that?	dzrams	249	April 29, 2017 01:53PM
No	9er8er	194	April 29, 2017 02:07PM
Re: No...	dzrams	255	April 29, 2017 02:20PM
Nope, false	9er8er	204	April 29, 2017 02:35PM
Re: How about we agree to disagree?	dzrams	215	April 29, 2017 02:45PM
For those puzzled by the Everett pick...	Rams43	584	April 29, 2017 11:12AM
Few question the PICK	RFIP	386	April 29, 2017 11:51AM
Re: Few question the PICK	Rams43	302	April 29, 2017 12:02PM
If it takes 3 years we will have our answer after 1...nm	RFIP	247	April 29, 2017 04:06PM
I'm curious why some here ignore some of the Everett scouting reports	RockRam	338	April 29, 2017 12:14PM
Re: I'm curious why some here ignore some of the Everett scouting reports	PARAM	300	April 29, 2017 02:19PM
Re: For those puzzled by the Everett pick...	Classicalwit	264	April 29, 2017 03:50PM
Re: For those puzzled by the Everett pick...	Rams43	253	April 29, 2017 04:36PM
31 other teams say the same thing...	jemach	279	April 29, 2017 01:59PM

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