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The reality is that Keenum is a 2 TD QB. That's the most production that we should expect from him game to game.
So far in 4 games, outside of Tampa, Keenum has produced 0, 0, and 2 TDs.
Some folks say throw out the SF game, ok, then we should also throw out the Tampa game. I think neither are normal representations of what Keenum is.
The big question is the Rams D good enough to make the playoffs with a 2 TD QB.
I think it's possible if the D stays healthy and continues to play as they've been, but they have no room for error, the Rams will normally lose games when their D yields more than 17 points.
Keenum is a gamer, and he won't throw away games when the D is playing well. Against good teams, if the D is playing well, Keenum will be hard pressed to produce enough points to win, but he can. But if the D is just average against good teams, Keenum isn't good enough to win.
I think this combination can get us to 9 or 10 wins if the D plays at its current level which is about a top 6 D.
... and LED the league. Only 9 QB's avgd a full 2 TD throws/game in 2015 - and no one thinks CK is better than an average starting QB, much less a topnotch or elite one. So, yeah, I certainly wouldn't bet on Keenum tossing more than 2 TD's in any given game - and that's not nearly as damning as you seem to think.
And if we're going to "toss out" games, I think it's MUCH more reasonable to toss out the 1st game, which is a clear outlier AND was the first game. Since San Francisco, Rams have scored 21 pp. and they're doing that w/little from Gurley, modest offensive production from Austin, and nothing obviously from Cooper, Higbee, or Spruce.
The arrow is pointed up for the Rams offense.
